How much money can you make trading CPI news releases?
There is no verified answer in the available source. The video shows a trader (Ali, of the Rihari/Ambitious Investing circle) describing two CPI trades in vague, auto-captioned dollar terms, then declining to state his actual account total on camera. The only concrete figure on screen is a single beginner's unverified claim.
The video is a "day in the life" vlog filmed the morning after a US CPI release, showing Ali walking through his overnight trades, a podcast with a trader who is three weeks into the Rihari education course, a gym session, and a guessing game about Ali's prop-firm profit total that ends with the number bleeped out. None of the dollar amounts spoken on camera are independently confirmed by a broker statement, prop firm dashboard, or third party. What follows separates what Rihari says from what is independently verifiable.
What actually happened during this CPI trade, according to the video?
Rihari says the CPI reaction was choppy and smaller than expected, so he traded reduced position size and closed two trades for modest, short-duration gains rather than the large directional move he had positioned for. He calls the session "not the cleanest CPI" but still a win.
Ali describes building a liquidity map in the days before the release, using swept highs and lows from the prior sessions as reference points. When CPI dropped, price took out a cluster of lows without reaching the higher timeframe level he had marked, which he calls "disappointing." He then describes two intraday entries, a buy off a fair value gap on a lower timeframe, and a second entry off a retested point of interest, each held for roughly ten minutes to half an hour before he took profit or moved his stop to breakeven. The auto-generated captions garble the specific dollar amounts, and the video does not display a broker or prop-firm statement on screen confirming either figure. The clearest verifiable statements are structural: he traded smaller than his normal size because of volatility, both trades were short-duration, and the overall night was smaller than he had positioned for.
How does the video's trader approach a CPI news event?
Rihari says his method is to map liquidity and key levels before the release, cut position size going into the news, then wait for the initial reaction before entering, rather than predicting direction and holding through the announcement itself.
He references concepts from what he calls the Rihari education course, including "points of interest," fair value gaps, market structure, and prior-session value areas. He explicitly says he was trading well below his usual contract size that night because conditions were choppy. He also says he has not withdrawn any payout from his prop firm accounts, describing this as a deliberate choice to build a "profit cushion" for trading psychology and to eventually trade larger size, rather than an outcome forced on him.
What did the newer trader claim to make, and how reliable is that claim?
A second person in the video, introduced as roughly three and a half weeks into trading and newly enrolled in the same education course, says in passing that he made "four bands" (slang for roughly four thousand dollars) from a single news event. This is one unverified, self-reported claim from one person's third week of trading.
No account screenshot, broker statement, or third-party confirmation accompanies the claim. It is spoken casually during a podcast segment, immediately followed by Ali calling it "a valuable lesson, but a lesson that not many people are going to take on board," which is itself an acknowledgment inside the video that the outcome is atypical. A single self-reported result from one trader's third week cannot be treated as evidence of what a typical new trader, or any trader, can expect to earn from CPI trading generally.
What does the video claim, and what can actually be verified?
The gap between what is said on camera and what can actually be checked is the central fact of this video. The table below separates the two.
| Claim or figure | What the video says | What is independently verified | |---|---|---| | Ali's total prop-firm profit | Discussed in a guessing game; the actual number is bleeped out of the video | Not disclosed on screen; not verifiable from the source | | Two overnight CPI trades | Described as modest gains over roughly 10 to 30 minutes each, in garbled, unclear dollar terms | No broker or prop-firm statement is shown; figures cannot be confirmed | | New trader's "four bands" claim | Said to have come from a single news event, three and a half weeks into trading | Self-reported on camera only; no statement or confirmation shown | | Odds of profit for retail derivative traders | Not addressed in the video | ASIC found 68% of Australian retail CFD investors lost money in FY2024 (see sourced statistics) | | Size of the FX market CPI moves trade into | Not addressed in the video | BIS recorded average daily OTC FX turnover of US$9.6 trillion in April 2025 (see sourced statistics) | | Paid education course and signals | Promoted mid-video with a 25% Black Friday discount code | A marketing offer inside the video; not an independently verified performance claim |
What does independently verified data say about CPI trading risk and market size?
Independently verified regulatory and market data, not sourced from Rihari, shows two things at once: most Australian retail derivative traders lose money over a full year, and the currency markets CPI releases move are enormous in scale. Together they explain both why the video's trades were volatile and why an individual trader's result says little about typical outcomes.
The ASIC Report 828: Risky business records that 68% of Australian retail CFD investors lost money in the 2024 financial year. That figure comes from the regulator that oversees Australian retail derivative markets, not from Rihari, and it applies to CFD trading broadly rather than to futures-style prop firm trading around a specific news release. It is included here because it is the only independently sourced measure of how retail traders in this general category actually perform, standing in contrast to the isolated, unverified wins described on camera.
The BIS 2025 Triennial Survey reported average daily OTC foreign-exchange turnover of US$9.6 trillion in April 2025. That scale is why a single data release like CPI can produce the sharp, fast moves the video describes, first sweeping recent lows, then reversing. A market of that size can absorb large volume without moving on any single trader's activity, which is also why no individual, including the traders in this video, can influence the outcome of a CPI release, only react to it.
What steps does the video describe for trading a CPI release?
Rihari's own account of his process on this occasion breaks down into a sequence of preparation and reaction steps, rather than a prediction of the news outcome itself. This describes what one trader says he did on one night, not a formula with a demonstrated track record.
- Map liquidity and key levels across the days before the release, marking recent highs, lows, and value areas on the chart.
- Reduce position size going into the release, trading fewer contracts than the normal size used on calmer days.
- Wait for the release and the initial reaction candle rather than pre-positioning for a predicted direction.
- Watch for the reaction to sweep recent liquidity (stop clusters above or below recent highs and lows) before considering an entry.
- Look for a market-structure signal on a lower timeframe, such as a fair value gap or a retested point of interest, before entering.
- Target a prior reference level, such as a previous session's value area high, and take partial profit or move the stop to breakeven once price approaches it.
This sequence is a description of one trader's discretionary process on one occasion. The video does not show a back-tested win rate, a sample of trades over time, or any statistic on how often this sequence produces a profitable outcome.
Is trading CPI news releases a safe or guaranteed way to make money?
Nothing in the video or in independently verified data supports treating CPI trading as safe or reliably profitable. The trader on camera describes reduced position size specifically because of the risk, declines to disclose his real result, and the only independently sourced statistic on retail derivative trading shows most people in that category lose money.
The video itself contains signals of that risk: Ali cuts his position size ahead of the release because he expects volatility, calls the actual outcome smaller and messier than expected, and keeps his real account total private even from people close to him. The newer trader's single large result is flagged inside the video as unusual rather than typical. Combined with the ASIC finding that 68% of Australian retail CFD investors lost money in FY2024, the available evidence points toward CPI trading carrying meaningful, unresolved risk rather than a demonstrated path to reliable income.
Which sources support these statistics?
ASIC Report 828 and the Bank for International Settlements 2025 Triennial Survey support the cited statistics. They report market-wide CFD-loss and foreign-exchange-turnover data, not evidence that a trading method, educator or reader will obtain any particular result.
- ASIC Report 828: Risky business — 68% of retail CFD investors lost money in FY24.
- Bank for International Settlements 2025 Triennial Survey — OTC FX turnover reached US$9.6 trillion per day in April 2025.
What questions do readers ask about this topic?
The answers below address the adjacent practical questions readers ask after reviewing the article and its source material. Each answer describes the available evidence and does not replace an independent review of current terms, risks or personal circumstances.
Did the video ever reveal exactly how much Ali has made trading?
No. The video builds toward a guessing game about Ali's total prop-firm profit, with his partner and another trader trying to guess the figure, but the actual number is bleeped out before it airs. No screenshot, statement, or on-screen total confirms it.
What markets or instruments was Ali actually trading during CPI?
The video does not name a specific broker or product type. Ali refers to "contracts" and prop-firm accounts, and the footage shows references consistent with futures-style trading rather than spot forex, but no account statement or platform screen confirms the exact instrument traded that night.
Is the newer trader's "four bands from one news event" claim proof that CPI trading works?
No. It is a single, self-reported figure from one person three and a half weeks into trading, spoken casually with no statement shown. Ali himself frames it in the video as an outlier, calling it a lesson "not many people are going to take on board," which is an acknowledgment that it is not typical.
Why does the video's trader say he hasn't taken a payout from his prop firm accounts?
Rihari says it is a deliberate choice, not a restriction, made to build a "profit cushion" that helps his trading psychology and lets him eventually trade larger position sizes. That explanation is his stated reasoning on camera, not an independently confirmed account balance or policy.
Does the video make any promises about income or results from its paid course?
The video includes a mid-episode promotion for a paid education platform and signal service, offering a 25% Black Friday discount code. This is a marketing segment inside the video, not a performance guarantee, and it is not treated here as evidence of what the course or signals actually produce for buyers.
What do the ASIC and BIS figures actually measure, and do they describe this video's trades?
They measure two different things and neither describes this specific video. ASIC Report 828 measures outcomes across the Australian retail CFD trading population in FY2024, while the BIS Triennial Survey measures total global OTC foreign-exchange turnover in April 2025. Both are cited as independently verified context for the scale and risk of the broader market CPI releases move, not as a report on Ali's or the newer trader's individual results.
Which RihariFX videos support this article?
The embedded RihariFX videos and their original English transcripts are the primary sources for the source-video claims in this article. They record what was said in each video and do not independently verify performance, price, licensing or typical results.